Russo-Ukrainian War

@LPNational @nato @EUCouncil

@DeptofDefense @StateDept @USNATO

Derrick Michael Reid will end: income taxes and filings; the FED and FRNs; federal socialism; the national debt; wars; entanglements, and political and Abrahamic divisiveness, seamlessly without chaos.

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NATO did not threaten Russia which chose to start a genocidal war. Eastern European countries wanted NATO protection having been subjugated by the soviets.

Russia starts war with superior aviation armor infantry artillery and air defense

Russia starts war with 10:1 advantage in artillery shells

Russia invaded Crimea, in 2014, pretended minority suppression in Dombas, 2016, all planed by Moscow. Syria fell and Iran was defeated, Russian influence degraded.

Russia starts war with superior forces and captures kerson, 1/2 Zaporizhia, having already occupied 1/2 of Donets, Luhansk, and Crimea.

armor, started its fighting retreat.

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Ukraine defeated Russian initial invasion on February 2022 in advance on Kiev, Nickolainva, Kharkov, zapororizhia. Russian command and control and logistics are substandard, vacated northern Ukraine, and reinforced the Land Corridor connecting Tangerod to Crimea.

In 2022 fall, Ukraine defeated Russia in Kerson and Kharkov.

Russia now occupying southern Kerson, southern zaporiezia, luhansk, and eastern donesk of the remaining Land Corridor.

Russia started pushing west toward Kupiance, Lyman and Bakmut. Russia has concentrated forces in Donets.

Ukraine attempted a 2023 offense but realized after Robotine that it must first attrit Russian Artillery having a 10:1 advantage.

Ukraine realized that Russian AA took out bataktar drones, initially successful but suspended.

Ukraine realized it needs air superiority and attrited Russian AA.

Russia captured Bakmut with heavy casualties

Ukraine realized that drones can destroy attack columns and developed drone attack corridors along front lines.

Ukraine realized it must destroy Russian economy to win and thus must developed long range drones to attack Russian interior.

Ukraine realized that a front line drone corridor can destroy attack columns during rear assembly and accumulations.

Ukraine adapts and begins the destruction of the Russian war machine and economy.

Ukraine adopted tactics to minimize casualties whereas Russia engages meat wave assaults that maximizes Russian casualties.

Ukraine employs Artillery Counter Battery

Ukraine employs FPV drones

Ukraine employs Wire guided drones

Russia develops drones as well

Ukraine occupied southern kursk to force Russian redeployment of Donesk forces, then withdrew.

Ukraine now employs AI targeting drones

Ukraine tractor land drones are now used for both logistics and trench line attacks

Ukraine Sea baby drones carrying AA and FPV drones attack Crimea, Rostov, and kamakazi drones attack the land corridor, Kursk, Briansk and Belgorad.

Ukraine attrition of Russian AA is increasing

Russia 1,000,000 brain drain and 1,000,000 casualties

Counter batteries and Drone attrition of Russian artillery

Drone used for Russian Armor attrition

Drone used for Russian infantry attrition

Tactics adaptations and implementations

Ukrainian Drone Corridor established for attriting force accumulations and assaults

Drone targeting of rear logistics, command HQ, commanders and force accumulations

Infrared night optical targeting

GPS and AI Precision targeting

Ukraine jets use precision glide bombs and used to down Russian cruise and ballistic missiles

Russian Black Sea fleet defeated and withdrawn

Palianytsia missle is a Ukrainian cruise turbojet drone missile system developed by Ukraine during the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

Jet powered Long range drones and long range heavy FP5 Flamingo cruise missiles

Jet powered short range and small payload Peklo cruise missiles

Soviet armor stockpiles used up 80%

Russian Debt out of control as china sells Russian Bonds to keep Putin afloat

Russian bank runs and NPLs.

Russian Strategic Radars attrited

interest rate 18-21% stifling economy

gas rationing with km long gas lines

Gas price increases and shortages

FSB is arresting generals in power play

Russian political opponents assassinated

Russian war economy imploding

Russian war production degraded

Russian infrastructure collapsing from lack of maintenance

Water shortages in Russian occupied donesk

Russian international arms sales decimated

Food shortages and price increases, price controls considered

Russian oil and gas revenue decreasing

Russian Oil terminals, depots, refineries, pipelines, and pumping stations degraded

Rail stations, rail electrical plants, rail line routers, trains, substations degraded

Russia internal sabotage widespread

Russian oil economy imploding

20% inflation rate, with rising prices

20-25% gasoline production is off line

Russian tactical air defense S300 S400 buk pansir etc attrited

Ukraine Bayraktar drones remobilized by Russian AA degradation

Russian air, naval and armor assets attrited

Russian 1,000,000 casualties in 3.5 years

Russian military and commercial air hacked

Ukraine front line stand off attacks

Ukraine on defense wirh moral imperative

Russian drone attacks strengthens Ukraine morale and determination

EU supports Ukraine

Trump betrayed the Free World and EU

Trump could have ended war by 9-1-2025

Trump sacrificed Ukraine for hoped for peace prize but causing continued war

Trump forced EU to support Ukraine

Ukraine sets traps, Kupiance and Pokrosk,

Drone Stand off collumn attacks followed by counterattacks

Solvakia supports Ukraine EU membership after oil pipeline destroyed, Hungary remains obstinate, under Trump pressure

Russian increasing desertions 50,000

Ukrainian helicopters shoot down 40% of drones, air defense shoots down 40%, the remaining 20% Russian drones attack civilians, hospitals schools playgrounds responders, as well as infrastructure.

Russian morale is degraded with surrenders

Russia continues asymmetrical war against NATO, over flights, hacking and espionage.

Ukraine continues to deploy AA assets to minimize Russian drone attacks, Germany supplying AA tanks to Ukraine

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Russian Tactics

Meat waves and large armor colum attacts replaced by infiltration teams and few armor vehicles

Large shadeed drone production

Drone and missile civil terrorism

Prisoner tortures, executions and exchanges.

NK supplies infantry, artillery and missiles

Foreign mercenaries and workers

China trades with Russia supporting war

Iran has supplied drones to Russia

Fast Infantry squads now on motorcycles

Minimal supporting armored assaults

Drone and glide bomb front line assaults

Environmental dams destroyed and decrepit oil tanker spills

Building fortifications for Finland and Baltics attacks on NATO, before Poland, Modoval, and Romania.

Trump approves long range strikes and intel.

Shadow fleets intercepted for Russian drone flights over EU.

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Ukraine WIP

Development of interceptor drones,

Now operational

Development of drone swarms

Development of short and medium range FP7 FP9 ballistic missiles

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Conclusion

As of 10-1-2025 38% of Russian refineries is off line.

Russian culmination and static front line with Ukraine deep strikes destroying Russian economy and oil assets

Unless Russia mobilizes a few million soldiers, which may cause revolt, Ukraine, with EU support, will defeat Russia.

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Predictions

Trump finally finally finally realizes he’s been had, played and humiliated by Putin, and arms Ukraine

2025 ($100B arms deal WIP)

Ukraine decimates Russian Oil industries 2026

Russia collapses economically-militarily 2026

Ukraine joins EU 2026

Russia vacates Ukraine, ending war 2027

Ukraine forcibly ejects Russia from Ukraine 2027

Georgia revolts 2027

Belarus revolts 2028

Ukraine joins NATO 2028

Belarus join EU 2030

Georgia joins EU 2031

Turkey Armenia Ajerbajan alliance 2032

Iran-Russia ground trade blocked 2032

US withdraws from NATO 2032

EU confines Russia 2032

EU cements Blue Curtain 2032 (game over)

China economy is imploding, with a debilitating internal power struggle and for now are just an annoyance.

The Blue Curtain. After Alaska, Trump indicates NATO US peacekeeping in Ukraine is on the table. This is so Wrong. After peace by Russian. defeat, with Ukraine arms assistance, NATO secures Ukraine giving US an opportunity to withdraw from NATO and EU. EU then controls the Blue Curtain from the Norwegian Sea to the Caspian Sea for containing imperial Russia without US support.